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| The Best Picture Frontrunners? |
1 (+1). Joy (20th-Century Fox). The recent screening went very well, and this might be David O. Russell's crowning achievement. With no winner that makes sense at this point, it's tempting to predict a late year release by a trusted filmmaker like Russell or Quentin Tarantino. But, this film seems more geared to the AMPAS than Hateful. However, it's rare for them to award Best Picture to a film fronted by a female. Unfortunately.
2 (+23). Spotlight (Open Road Films). I doubted this because of its distributor, but this seems to be the year that a lot of smaller companies are coming on strong with the big and mid-level studios failing to bring their A-game collectively. After Venice/Telluride/TIFF (MC 81 out of 10 reviews), this newspaper drama seems to be the consensus choice amongst the Oscar pundits. Perhaps it has something to do with the movie being about the integrity of journalism, even though most of the, um, pundits just predict awards and stuff (and a lot of them lack integrity). Not sure if this will win, but this seems primed to be a Top 5 player whatever the case.
3 (+1). Inside Out (Disney). It's hard to doubt an animated feature that has done exceptionally well commercially and critically, even if Up and Toy Story 3 got in under different rules (they only needed to make it into a set Top 10, whereas now films have to reach #1 on 5% of the ballots). There hasn't been a Pixar film this successful since those two films, so ...
4 (+1). Carol (TWC). Currently MC 95 (11 reviews). The critics will likely back this up more than Far From Heaven, and audiences should turn up more as well.
5 (+4). The Revenant (20th-Century Fox). I doubted this one all year, but if it comes out and has the reviews, it's going to be hard not to honour. Still, wilderness tales don't have the best track record with the AMPAS. There's reasonable room for doubt.
6 (+5). Steve Jobs (Universal). After Telluride, Danny Boyle showed that he wasn't delivering fourth-tier Social Network. I was wrong. It's more like third-tier. MC 81 after 38 reviews. Could still miss, but probably not if audiences show up for it. It's angling for at least an easy three major nominations.
2 (+23). Spotlight (Open Road Films). I doubted this because of its distributor, but this seems to be the year that a lot of smaller companies are coming on strong with the big and mid-level studios failing to bring their A-game collectively. After Venice/Telluride/TIFF (MC 81 out of 10 reviews), this newspaper drama seems to be the consensus choice amongst the Oscar pundits. Perhaps it has something to do with the movie being about the integrity of journalism, even though most of the, um, pundits just predict awards and stuff (and a lot of them lack integrity). Not sure if this will win, but this seems primed to be a Top 5 player whatever the case.
3 (+1). Inside Out (Disney). It's hard to doubt an animated feature that has done exceptionally well commercially and critically, even if Up and Toy Story 3 got in under different rules (they only needed to make it into a set Top 10, whereas now films have to reach #1 on 5% of the ballots). There hasn't been a Pixar film this successful since those two films, so ...
4 (+1). Carol (TWC). Currently MC 95 (11 reviews). The critics will likely back this up more than Far From Heaven, and audiences should turn up more as well.
5 (+4). The Revenant (20th-Century Fox). I doubted this one all year, but if it comes out and has the reviews, it's going to be hard not to honour. Still, wilderness tales don't have the best track record with the AMPAS. There's reasonable room for doubt.
7 (-1). Bridge of Spies (Disney). I still have my doubts that Disney can get two films in. MC 81 after 36 reviews isn't a bad place to start as far as getting them both in. We'll have to see how this does commercially.
8 (--). Son of Saul (SPC). The Holocaust film made an impact at Cannes winning the Grand Jury Prize. However, it doesn't boast any stars. Might make it in, might not. MC 90 (9 reviews) from Cannes. After the fall festivals, however, it constantly rates at the top of group lists. At the end of the day, it may end up being too bleak.
9 (+7). Mad Max: Fury Road (Warner Bros). The could be the underestimated dark horse that made off with critics and delivered an impressive $150M domestic this last Summer. Certainly, it's a film on wheels that isn't normally something the AMPAS adhere too. But, it has all the other appropriate boxes ticked, and this could be a way to reward George Miller with a nomination, who has a understated, but long history with the The Academy. Also, it's Warner Brothers. Never doubt them with Oscars.
10 (New). Room (A24). We'll have to see how a lot of the big studios do commercially before I gain complete confidence in this one.
14 (Re-Entry) The Martian (20th-Century Fox). Well, I clearly underestimated this one. MC 81 after 46 reviews.
15 (-12) The Danish Girl (Focus).
8 (--). Son of Saul (SPC). The Holocaust film made an impact at Cannes winning the Grand Jury Prize. However, it doesn't boast any stars. Might make it in, might not. MC 90 (9 reviews) from Cannes. After the fall festivals, however, it constantly rates at the top of group lists. At the end of the day, it may end up being too bleak.
9 (+7). Mad Max: Fury Road (Warner Bros). The could be the underestimated dark horse that made off with critics and delivered an impressive $150M domestic this last Summer. Certainly, it's a film on wheels that isn't normally something the AMPAS adhere too. But, it has all the other appropriate boxes ticked, and this could be a way to reward George Miller with a nomination, who has a understated, but long history with the The Academy. Also, it's Warner Brothers. Never doubt them with Oscars.
11 (-1). The Hateful Eight (TWC). I was bearish on this all year, because this film was less baity than Tarantino's last two films, and I believed that is why he did so well with the AMPAS. Hateful seems more like Reservoir Dogs in the Old West. It might be something that the The Academy goes for, though, because, at the end of the day, they have been in a lovefest with him. I could see this winning the big prize if the critics show up for this one. This also seems like a classic SAG-ensemble nominee.
12 (+1) Brooklyn (Fox Searchlight). Masterful studio with a fringe contender in just a few categories in a movie that might resonate with the AMPAS. MC 74 (11 reviews). I have my doubts about this one, but who knows.
13 (-12). Beasts of No Nation (Netflix). MC 80 after 24 reviews, a "small" film like this needs to stand out from Carol, Son of Saul, etc. After its unprecedented simultaneously internet/theatrical premiere, I'm not sure who will be discussing this two months from now.
15 (-12) The Danish Girl (Focus).
16 (-4) The Big Short (Paramount).
17 (+7) Concussion/Game Brain (Sony).
18 (+1) 45 Years (Sundance Selects).
19 (New) Creed (WB).
20 (+2) Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens (Disney).
21 (New) Anomalisa (Paramount).
22 (-1) Youth (Fox Searchlight).
23 (+10) Sicario (Lionsgate).
24 (-12) Suffragette (Focus).
25 (+11) Mr. Holmes (Roadside Attractions).
26 (+4) Lady in the Van (SPC).
27 (+12) The Good Dinosaur (Disney).
28 (+15) Spectre (Sony).
29 (+12) In the Heart of the Sea (Warner Bros).
18 (+1) 45 Years (Sundance Selects).
19 (New) Creed (WB).
20 (+2) Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens (Disney).
21 (New) Anomalisa (Paramount).
22 (-1) Youth (Fox Searchlight).
23 (+10) Sicario (Lionsgate).
24 (-12) Suffragette (Focus).
25 (+11) Mr. Holmes (Roadside Attractions).
26 (+4) Lady in the Van (SPC).
27 (+12) The Good Dinosaur (Disney).
28 (+15) Spectre (Sony).
29 (+12) In the Heart of the Sea (Warner Bros).
30 (+2) By the Sea (Universal).
31 (+6) Black Mass (Warner Bros).
Best Actress
1 (New) Brie Larson, Room
2 (-1). Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
2 (-1). Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
3 (-1). Cate Blanchett, Carol
4 (+1). Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
5 (+4). Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
6 (+4). Lily Tomlin, Grandma
7 (+1). Maggie Smith, The Lady in the Van
4 (+1). Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
5 (+4). Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
6 (+4). Lily Tomlin, Grandma
7 (+1). Maggie Smith, The Lady in the Van
8 (-7). Carey Mulligan, Suffragette
9 (New). Charlize Theron, Mad Max: Fury Road
10 (New). Rooney Mara, Carol
9 (New). Charlize Theron, Mad Max: Fury Road
10 (New). Rooney Mara, Carol
Best Actor
1 (+1). Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
2 (+4). Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
3 (-2). Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
2 (+4). Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
3 (-2). Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
4 (-1). Michael Caine, Youth
5 (-2). Géza Röhrig, Son of Saul
6 (-1). Abraham Attah, Beasts of No Nation
5 (-2). Géza Röhrig, Son of Saul
6 (-1). Abraham Attah, Beasts of No Nation
7 (New). Matt Damon, The Martian
8 (+4). Will Smith, Concussion/Game Brain
9 (New) Michael B. Jordan, Creed
10 (+1). Johnny Depp, Black Mass
11 (-2).Tom Hanks, Bridge of Spies
12 (+2). Ian McKellan, Mr. Holmes
13 (New). Samuel L. Jackson, The Hateful Eight
8 (+4). Will Smith, Concussion/Game Brain
9 (New) Michael B. Jordan, Creed
10 (+1). Johnny Depp, Black Mass
11 (-2).Tom Hanks, Bridge of Spies
12 (+2). Ian McKellan, Mr. Holmes
13 (New). Samuel L. Jackson, The Hateful Eight
S. Actress
1 (+1). Rooney Mara, Carol
2 (+5). Diane Ladd, Joy
3 (--). Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
2 (+5). Diane Ladd, Joy
3 (--). Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
4 (-3). Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
5 (+6). Julie Walters, Brooklyn
6 (+7). Jennifer Jason-Leigh, The Hateful Eight
7 (+5). Jane Fonda, Youth
8 (+8). Isabella Rossellini, Joy
9 (New) Joan Allen, Room
5 (+6). Julie Walters, Brooklyn
6 (+7). Jennifer Jason-Leigh, The Hateful Eight
7 (+5). Jane Fonda, Youth
8 (+8). Isabella Rossellini, Joy
9 (New) Joan Allen, Room
10 (-1). Elisabeth Röhm, Joy
11 (Re-Entry) Virginia Madsen, Joy
11 (Re-Entry) Virginia Madsen, Joy
12 (New). Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
S. Actor
1 (--). Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation
2 (New). Jacob Tremblay, Room
2 (New). Jacob Tremblay, Room
3 (-1). Robert DeNiro, Joy
4 (New). Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
5 (+6). Michael Keaton, Spotlight
6 (+4). Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
7 (New). Steve Carell, The Big Short
8 (-4). Harvey Keitel, Youth
9 (-1). Samuel L. Jackson, The Hateful Eight
10 (+4). Édgar Ramírez, Joy
11 (New). Tom Courtenay, 45 Years
12 (-6). Tom Hardy, The Revenant
13 (New). Kurt Russell, The Hateful Eight
14 (New). Walton Goggins, The Hateful Eight
4 (New). Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
5 (+6). Michael Keaton, Spotlight
6 (+4). Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
7 (New). Steve Carell, The Big Short
8 (-4). Harvey Keitel, Youth
9 (-1). Samuel L. Jackson, The Hateful Eight
10 (+4). Édgar Ramírez, Joy
11 (New). Tom Courtenay, 45 Years
12 (-6). Tom Hardy, The Revenant
13 (New). Kurt Russell, The Hateful Eight
14 (New). Walton Goggins, The Hateful Eight
15 (New). Sylvester Stallone, Creed
16 (+1). Hugh Keays-Byrne, Mad Max: Fury Road
17 (-5). Jason Segel, The End of the Tour
18 (New). Ryan Gosling, The Big Short
19 (--). Seth Rogen, Steve Jobs
19 (--). Seth Rogen, Steve Jobs
Director
1 (+1). David O. Russell, Joy
2 (+1). Todd Haynes, Carol
3 (New). Thomas McCarthy, Spotlight
4 (+1). László Nemes, Son of Saul
4 (+2). George Miller, Max Max: Fury Road
6 (+2). Quentin Tarantino, The Hateful Eight
2 (+1). Todd Haynes, Carol
3 (New). Thomas McCarthy, Spotlight
4 (+1). László Nemes, Son of Saul
4 (+2). George Miller, Max Max: Fury Road
6 (+2). Quentin Tarantino, The Hateful Eight
7 (+4). Alejandro González Iñárritu, The Revenant
8 (New). Lenny Abrahamson, Room
8 (New). Lenny Abrahamson, Room
9 (-3). Steven Spielberg, Bridge of Spies
10 (+7). John Crowley, Brooklyn
11 (+2). Danny Boyle, Steve Jobs
12 (New). Ryan Coogler, Creed
13 (-12). Cary Fukunaga, Beasts of No Nation
14 (+6). Andrew Haigh, 45 Years
15 (New). Pete Landesman, Concussion/Game Brain
16 (--). Paolo Sorrentino, Youth
10 (+7). John Crowley, Brooklyn
11 (+2). Danny Boyle, Steve Jobs
12 (New). Ryan Coogler, Creed
13 (-12). Cary Fukunaga, Beasts of No Nation
14 (+6). Andrew Haigh, 45 Years
15 (New). Pete Landesman, Concussion/Game Brain
16 (--). Paolo Sorrentino, Youth
17 (-7). Peter Docter & Ronaldo Del Carmen, Inside Out
O. Screenplay
1 (--). Joy
2 (+12). Spotlight
1 (--). Joy
2 (+12). Spotlight
3 (-1). Inside Out
4 (--). Son of Saul
5 (--). The Hateful Eight
6 (+9). Grandma
5 (--). The Hateful Eight
6 (+9). Grandma
7 (+6). Trainwreck
8 (--). Bridge of Spies
9 (+8). Concussion/Game Brain
9 (+8). Concussion/Game Brain
10 (+6). Youth
11 (-5). Suffragette
11 (-5). Suffragette
A. Screenplay
1 (+2). Carol
2 (+3). Steve Jobs
3 (+1). Brooklyn
4 (New). Anomalisa
5 (New). Room
6 (-4). Beasts of No Nation
7 (-6). The Danish Girl
8 (+1). 45 Years
3 (+1). Brooklyn
4 (New). Anomalisa
5 (New). Room
6 (-4). Beasts of No Nation
7 (-6). The Danish Girl
8 (+1). 45 Years
9 (+2). The Revenant
10 (-3). The Lady in the Van
11 (-5). The Big Short
12 (New). Creed
13 (-3). Max Max: Fury Road
10 (-3). The Lady in the Van
11 (-5). The Big Short
12 (New). Creed
13 (-3). Max Max: Fury Road
Editing
1. Max Max: Fury Road
2. Joy
3. Spotlight
4. The Revenant
5. Steve Jobs
6. The Hateful Eight
7. Bridge of Spies
1. Max Max: Fury Road
2. Joy
3. Spotlight
4. The Revenant
5. Steve Jobs
6. The Hateful Eight
7. Bridge of Spies
8. Carol
9. Son of Saul
10. Beasts of No Nation
9. Son of Saul
10. Beasts of No Nation
11. Creed
12. Sicario
13. The Big Short
14. Inside Out
Best Makeup
1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. Black Mass
3. The Danish Girl
4. Jupiter Ascending
5. Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens
Best Costume Design
1. Carol (Sandy Powell)
2. Cinderella (Sandy Powell)
3. The Danish Girl (Paco Delgado)
4. Mad Max: Fury Road (Jenny Beavan)
5. The Revenant (Jacqueline West)
6. Saint Laurent (Anais Romand)
7. Brooklyn (Odile Dicks-Mireaux)
8. The Hateful Eight (Courtney Hoffman)
9. Macbeth (Jacqueline Durran)
10. Pan (Jacqueline Durran)
Best Production Design
1. Carol (Judy Becker)
2. Cinderella (Dante Ferretti)
3. The Danish Girl (Eve Stewart)
4. Youth (Ludovica Ferrario)
5. The Martian (Arthur Max)
6. Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens (Rick Carter & Darren Gilford)
7. The Revenant (Jack Fish)
8. The Hateful Eight (Yohei Taneda)
9. Brooklyn (Francois Seguin)
10. Mad Max: Fury Road (Colin Gibson)
Best Cinematography
1. Mad Max: Fury Road (John Seale)
2. The Hateful Eight (Robert Richardson)
3. The Revenant (Emmanuel Lubezki)
4. Carol (Edward Lachman)
5. Son of Saul (Matyas Erdely)
6. Sicario (Roger Deakins)
7. Joy (Linus Sandgren)
8. The Martian (Dariusz Wolski)
8. The Assassin (Ping Bin Lee)
9. The Danish Girl (Danny Cohen)
10. Beasts of No Nation (Cary Fukunaga)
Best Visual Effects
1. Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens
2. In the Heart of the Sea
3. Avengers: Age of Ultron
4. Jurassic World
5. Mad Max: Fury Road
6. The Martian
7. Antman
14. Inside Out
Best Makeup
1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. Black Mass
3. The Danish Girl
4. Jupiter Ascending
5. Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens
Best Costume Design
1. Carol (Sandy Powell)
2. Cinderella (Sandy Powell)
3. The Danish Girl (Paco Delgado)
4. Mad Max: Fury Road (Jenny Beavan)
5. The Revenant (Jacqueline West)
6. Saint Laurent (Anais Romand)
7. Brooklyn (Odile Dicks-Mireaux)
8. The Hateful Eight (Courtney Hoffman)
9. Macbeth (Jacqueline Durran)
10. Pan (Jacqueline Durran)
Best Production Design
1. Carol (Judy Becker)
2. Cinderella (Dante Ferretti)
3. The Danish Girl (Eve Stewart)
4. Youth (Ludovica Ferrario)
5. The Martian (Arthur Max)
6. Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens (Rick Carter & Darren Gilford)
7. The Revenant (Jack Fish)
8. The Hateful Eight (Yohei Taneda)
9. Brooklyn (Francois Seguin)
10. Mad Max: Fury Road (Colin Gibson)
Best Cinematography
1. Mad Max: Fury Road (John Seale)
2. The Hateful Eight (Robert Richardson)
3. The Revenant (Emmanuel Lubezki)
4. Carol (Edward Lachman)
5. Son of Saul (Matyas Erdely)
6. Sicario (Roger Deakins)
7. Joy (Linus Sandgren)
8. The Martian (Dariusz Wolski)
8. The Assassin (Ping Bin Lee)
9. The Danish Girl (Danny Cohen)
10. Beasts of No Nation (Cary Fukunaga)
Best Visual Effects
1. Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens
2. In the Heart of the Sea
3. Avengers: Age of Ultron
4. Jurassic World
5. Mad Max: Fury Road
6. The Martian
7. Antman
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